Aleksandar Pavlović
Central midfielder 97% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances
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In 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 54%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 8% (2 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Aleksandar Pavlović in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar PavlovićFC Bayern München | 24 | 0.62 | 1.17 |
| Marcel SabitzerBorussia Dortmund | 26 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Han-Noah MassengoFC Augsburg | 33 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein1. FC Union Berlin | 30 | 0.78 | 1.01 |
| Kristijan JakićFC Augsburg | 26 | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Mathias RasmussenFC St. Pauli | 13 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| These 5, combined | 0.85 | 0.94 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Aleksandar Pavlović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SV 07 Elversberg13 Sep | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ FC Schalke 045 Sep | 74 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| VfB Stuttgart28 Aug | 84 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg4 Apr | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb | 77 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Aleksandar Pavlović have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Aleksandar Pavlović average?
Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Aleksandar Pavlović get booked?
Aleksandar Pavlović is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Aleksandar Pavlović commit or win more fouls?
This season Aleksandar Pavlović commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aleksandar Pavlović?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aleksandar Pavlović plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.