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Bundesliga · 25/26
AL

Aleksandar Pavlović

Midfielder · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 54%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 8% (2 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.38
50%5 of 10
0.88
40%4 of 10
0.51
70%7 of 10
1.14
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aleksandar Pavlović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
1. FC Heidenheim2 May 45 0 1 0 1 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr 45 0 0 1 0 0
@ SC Freiburg4 Apr 34 0 0 1 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar 61 0 0 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb 90 0 0 1 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb 77 1 1 1 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb 90 0 2 2 1 0
@ Hamburger SV31 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 0
FC Augsburg24 Jan 90 1 1 1 0 0
@ RB Leipzig17 Jan 90 1 2 0 1 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 6 games · Aleksandar Pavlović booked in 1 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Tobias Stieler 6 games · Aleksandar Pavlović booked in 1 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Sven Jablonski 5 games · Aleksandar Pavlović booked in 2 3.70cards/game 0.90×vs league
Frank Willenborg 5 games · Aleksandar Pavlović never booked 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Aleksandar Pavlović have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Aleksandar Pavlović average?

Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Aleksandar Pavlović is averaging 0.31 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aleksandar Pavlović get booked?

Aleksandar Pavlović is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aleksandar Pavlović commit or win more fouls?

This season Aleksandar Pavlović commits 1.17 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aleksandar Pavlović?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Aleksandar Pavlović plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.