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Bundesliga 26/27
NI

Niclas Füllkrug

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts SV Werder BremenBundesliga 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueSerie A

Next match
SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.48 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.2×
Total shots2.39 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
Fouls won1.25 per 90
60%
6 of 101.5×
Fouls committed2.16 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Tackles0.80 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
22%
2 of 92.6×
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.57 per 90
50%
5 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Niclas Füllkrug has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

Niclas Füllkrug has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Niclas FüllkrugSV Werder BremenSerie A 202.23 1.11
Shuto MachinoBorussia M'gladbach 322.16 1.16
Marius Bülter1. FC Köln 322.35 0.95
Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen 132.16 1.44
Tim Skarke1. FC Union Berlin 222.04 1.16
Dženan PejčinovićVfB Stuttgart 322.91 1.40
These 5, combined 2.43 1.20

Recent matches

The last 10 games Niclas Füllkrug featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia Dortmund9 Oct 90 2 2 3 2 1 0
FC Augsburg19 Sep 90 3 6 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln12 Sep 81 2 2 3 2 3 0
RB Leipzig5 Sep 74 1 1 3 1 2 0
@ SC Freiburg29 Aug 61 1 2 4 0 0 0
Darmstadt 9818 May 61 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig27 Apr 90 1 3 1 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Apr 90 1 1 3 1 0 1
VfB Stuttgart6 Apr 81 1 3 1 3 0 0
@ FC Bayern München30 Mar 74 1 1 1 2 0 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 5 games Niclas Füllkrug booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Daniel Siebert 5 games Niclas Füllkrug booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 5 games Niclas Füllkrug never booked 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Benjamin Brand 4 games Niclas Füllkrug never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Niclas Füllkrug have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Niclas Füllkrug has hit 1+ shot on target in 90% (9 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Niclas Füllkrug average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Niclas Füllkrug is averaging 1.48 shots on target and 2.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Niclas Füllkrug get booked?

Niclas Füllkrug is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Niclas Füllkrug commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Niclas Füllkrug commits 2.16 fouls per 90 and wins 1.25 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Niclas Füllkrug?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Niclas Füllkrug plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.