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SharpXI©
Premier League 25/26
NI

Niclas Füllkrug

Striker 100% of 11 recent starts SV Werder BremenPremier League 25/26

Also in: Serie ABundesliga

Last games
max 26 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,388 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.88 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots1.93 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
Fouls won0.35 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Fouls committed2.11 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.53 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 169 selections across 52 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Niclas Füllkrug has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Niclas Füllkrug featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool30 Nov 12 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Bournemouth22 Nov 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Arsenal4 Oct 61 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Everton29 Sep 89 1 2 1 0 1 0
Crystal Palace20 Sep 31 0 0 3 0 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest31 Aug 64 1 3 0 0 1 0
Chelsea22 Aug 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sunderland16 Aug 90 1 2 5 0 0 0
@ Ipswich25 May 73 1 1 0 1 0 0
Nottingham Forest18 May 32 1 1 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Tony Harrington 3 games Niclas Füllkrug booked in 1 3.83cards/game 0.94×vs league
Michael Oliver 3 games Niclas Füllkrug never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Robert Jones 3 games Niclas Füllkrug never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Niclas Füllkrug have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Niclas Füllkrug has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Niclas Füllkrug average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Niclas Füllkrug is averaging 0.88 shots on target and 1.93 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Niclas Füllkrug get booked?

Niclas Füllkrug is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Niclas Füllkrug commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Niclas Füllkrug commits 2.11 fouls per 90 and wins 0.35 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Niclas Füllkrug?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Niclas Füllkrug plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.