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Premier League 26/27
EV

Evanilson

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts BournemouthPremier League 26/27

Next match
Bournemouth at Chelsea›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.63MGMEdge
Total shots1.91 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.12PPEdge
Fouls won2.02 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
1.25PPEdge
Fouls committed1.46 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.30bet365Edge
Tackles0.67 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
10%
1 of 101.7×
Cards0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
6.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.34 per 90
30%
3 of 106.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Evanilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Evanilson in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
EvanilsonBournemouth 362.28 0.85
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa 372.62 1.10
Viktor GyökeresArsenal 362.20 1.40
Chris WoodNottingham Forest 152.28 0.60
Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace 322.55 0.85
Nick WoltemadeNewcastle United 331.49 0.93
These 5, combined 2.26 1.04

Recent matches

The last 10 games Evanilson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Liverpool20 Sep 90 2 2 2 2 2 0
Brentford12 Sep 89 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ Newcastle5 Sep 90 0 3 0 1 0 0
Everton29 Aug 81 0 3 3 4 0 0
@ Man City23 Aug 75 0 0 2 1 1 1
@ Nottingham Forest24 May 73 0 1 0 3 1 0
Man City19 May 89 0 3 2 2 1 0
@ Fulham9 May 43 0 1 0 0 1 0
Crystal Palace3 May 80 0 2 1 3 0 0
Leeds22 Apr 90 0 2 1 0 0 1
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 9 games Evanilson never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Robert Jones 6 games Evanilson never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Peter Bankes 5 games Evanilson booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 5 games Evanilson never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Evanilson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Evanilson has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Evanilson average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Evanilson is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 1.91 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Evanilson get booked?

Evanilson is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Evanilson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Evanilson commits 1.46 fouls per 90 and wins 2.02 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Evanilson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Evanilson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.