Matthias Ginter
Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts SC FreiburgBundesliga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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In 25/26, Matthias Ginter has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 32), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, 1+ foul won in 44%, and been booked in 9% (3 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Matthias Ginter in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias GinterSC Freiburg | 32 | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| Willi OrbánRB Leipzig | 33 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Robin KochEintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Eric SmithFC St. Pauli | 27 | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| Castello LukebaRB Leipzig | 26 | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| Hauke WahlFC St. Pauli | 30 | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| These 5, combined | 0.45 | 0.62 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matthias Ginter featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Paderborn 075 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig16 May | 72 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV10 May | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim19 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0512 Apr | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matthias Ginter have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Matthias Ginter has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (7 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matthias Ginter average?
Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Matthias Ginter is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.60 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matthias Ginter get booked?
Matthias Ginter is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matthias Ginter commit or win more fouls?
This season Matthias Ginter commits 0.51 fouls per 90 and wins 0.63 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthias Ginter?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matthias Ginter plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.