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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Maximilian Mittelstädt

Full-back 63% of 30 recent starts VfB StuttgartBundesliga 26/27

Next match
VfB Stuttgart at SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.73 per 90
40%
4 of 102.6×
2.40MGMEdge
Total shots1.46 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.34MGMEdge
Fouls won1.46 per 90
70%
7 of 101.9×
1.36bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.37 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles2.19 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
20%
2 of 103.2×
Cards0.24 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.37 per 90
30%
3 of 105.8×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Maximilian Mittelstädt has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 32), 1+ total shot in 62%, 1+ foul committed in 34%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 12% (4 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Maximilian Mittelstädt in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Maximilian MittelstädtVfB Stuttgart 321.27 0.45
Lukas KüblerSC Freiburg 231.07 1.13
Josha VagnomanVfB Stuttgart 271.07 0.96
Joakim MæhleVfL Wolfsburg 181.01 0.61
Ridle BakuRB Leipzig 321.08 0.83
Max FinkgräfeRB Leipzig 130.72 0.54
These 5, combined 1.04 0.86

Recent matches

The last 10 games Maximilian Mittelstädt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Borussia Dortmund19 Sep 90 0 2 0 4 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim12 Sep 90 1 1 1 0 4 0
1. FC Köln4 Sep 78 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ FC Bayern München28 Aug 90 0 2 0 1 3 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt16 May 73 0 0 1 1 1 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 May 78 1 3 0 0 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim2 May 35 0 0 0 2 2 0
SV Werder Bremen26 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 2 0
@ FC Bayern München19 Apr 25 0 0 0 1 0 0
Hamburger SV12 Apr 90 3 3 0 2 4 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games Maximilian Mittelstädt booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Tobias Stieler 9 games Maximilian Mittelstädt booked in 1 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league
Sven Jablonski 7 games Maximilian Mittelstädt booked in 2 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Christian Dingert 7 games Maximilian Mittelstädt booked in 1 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 19 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Maximilian Mittelstädt have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Maximilian Mittelstädt has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (12 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Maximilian Mittelstädt average?

Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Maximilian Mittelstädt is averaging 0.66 shots on target and 1.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Maximilian Mittelstädt get booked?

Maximilian Mittelstädt is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Maximilian Mittelstädt commit or win more fouls?

This season Maximilian Mittelstädt commits 0.45 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Maximilian Mittelstädt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Maximilian Mittelstädt plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.