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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Marco Grüll

Forward · SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 15% (5 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.33
70%7 of 10
1.50
40%4 of 10
1.00
80%Hot8 of 10
1.83
10%1 of 10
0.17
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
SV Werder Bremen at SC Freiburg
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marco Grüll featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Borussia Dortmund16 May 37 1 1 1 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim9 May 19 0 1 0 1 0
FC Augsburg2 May 11 0 1 1 0 0
Hamburger SV18 Apr 30 0 0 1 1 1
@ 1. FC Köln12 Apr 45 0 1 1 0 0
RB Leipzig4 Apr 61 0 0 3 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg21 Mar 90 0 1 2 3 0
1. FSV Mainz 0515 Mar 85 0 2 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin8 Mar 82 1 2 1 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim28 Feb 80 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sören Storks 5 games · Marco Grüll booked in 1 4.77cards/game 1.17×vs league
Bastian Dankert 5 games · Marco Grüll never booked 3.55cards/game 0.87×vs league
Tobias Reichel 5 games · Marco Grüll never booked 4.24cards/game 1.04×vs league
Benjamin Brand 4 games · Marco Grüll never booked 4.43cards/game 1.08×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Marco Grüll have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Marco Grüll average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marco Grüll is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marco Grüll get booked?

Marco Grüll is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marco Grüll commit or win more fouls?

This season Marco Grüll commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 1.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marco Grüll?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Marco Grüll plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.