Marco Grüll
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances
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In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 15% (5 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Marco Grüll in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco GrüllSV Werder Bremen | 33 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg | 29 | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| Ritsu DoanEintracht Frankfurt | 31 | 1.55 | 0.98 |
| Jan-Niklas BesteSC Freiburg | 28 | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Jean-Mattéo BahoyaLeeds United | 27 | 1.96 | 0.88 |
| Bazoumana TouréNewcastle United | 30 | 1.86 | 1.70 |
| These 5, combined | 1.66 | 1.15 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marco Grüll featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Borussia Dortmund9 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg19 Sep | 90 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ 1. FC Köln12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig5 Sep | 90 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg29 Aug | 85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund16 May | 37 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim9 May | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg2 May | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamburger SV18 Apr | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ 1. FC Köln12 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marco Grüll have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marco Grüll average?
Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marco Grüll is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marco Grüll get booked?
Marco Grüll is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marco Grüll commit or win more fouls?
This season Marco Grüll commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 1.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marco Grüll?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marco Grüll plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.