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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Marco Grüll

Winger 50% of 30 recent starts SV Werder BremenBundesliga 26/27

Next match
SV Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.61 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.30 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
Fouls won2.15 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.53 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
Tackles3.07 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
22%
2 of 91.6×
Cards0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
Goals0.31 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.61 per 90
40%
4 of 103.5×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 58%, and been booked in 15% (5 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Marco Grüll in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marco GrüllSV Werder Bremen 331.92 1.47
Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 1.11
Ritsu DoanEintracht Frankfurt 311.55 0.98
Jan-Niklas BesteSC Freiburg 281.26 0.89
Jean-Mattéo BahoyaLeeds United 271.96 0.88
Bazoumana TouréNewcastle United 301.86 1.70
These 5, combined 1.66 1.15

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marco Grüll featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Borussia Dortmund9 Oct 90 0 1 0 3 4 0
FC Augsburg19 Sep 90 1 2 2 2 0 1
@ 1. FC Köln12 Sep 90 0 2 2 2 0 0
RB Leipzig5 Sep 90 2 5 1 0 6 0
@ SC Freiburg29 Aug 85 0 1 1 5 6 0
Borussia Dortmund16 May 37 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim9 May 19 0 1 0 1 1 0
FC Augsburg2 May 11 0 1 1 0 0 0
Hamburger SV18 Apr 30 0 0 1 1 2 1
@ 1. FC Köln12 Apr 45 0 1 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 6 games Marco Grüll booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Sören Storks 5 games Marco Grüll booked in 1 4.72cards/game 1.16×vs league
Benjamin Brand 5 games Marco Grüll never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Tobias Reichel 5 games Marco Grüll never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marco Grüll have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Marco Grüll has hit 1+ shot on target in 33% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marco Grüll average?

Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marco Grüll is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.92 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marco Grüll get booked?

Marco Grüll is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marco Grüll commit or win more fouls?

This season Marco Grüll commits 1.47 fouls per 90 and wins 1.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marco Grüll?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marco Grüll plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.