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Bundesliga 26/27
PA

Patson Daka

Forward Hamburger SVBundesliga 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueChampionship

Next match
Hamburger SV at TSG Hoffenheim›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a Bundesliga forward, 25/26, 2,440 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
1.62bet365Edge
Total shots3.46 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.2×
1.08bet365Edge
Fouls won1.30 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.7×
1.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.30 per 90
50%
2 of 41.1×
1.29bet365Edge
Tackles2.16 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 42.0×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 4 Bundesliga games, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 4), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 75%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Recent matches

The last 4 games Patson Daka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Köln19 Sep 23 0 2 2 1 1 0
@ RB Leipzig13 Sep 73 0 3 0 1 2 0
1. FSV Mainz 056 Sep 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund29 Aug 67 0 3 0 1 2 0

Frequently asked

How often does Patson Daka have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 Bundesliga games, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Patson Daka average?

Across the last 4 Bundesliga games, Patson Daka is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 3.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patson Daka get booked?

Patson Daka is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patson Daka commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Patson Daka commits 1.30 fouls per 90 and wins 1.30 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patson Daka?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patson Daka plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.