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Championship · 25/26
PA

Patson Daka

Forward · Leicester · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 37% of 41 Championship appearances (15 of 41), 1+ total shot in 71%, 1+ foul committed in 37%, 1+ foul won in 59%, and been booked in 5% (2 of 41). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
60%6 of 10
1.23
90%Hot9 of 10
2.83
70%7 of 10
0.86
50%5 of 10
0.86
10%1 of 10
0.12
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patson Daka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Blackburn Rovers2 May 72 0 1 0 1 0
Millwall24 Apr 89 0 1 1 1 0
Hull City21 Apr 90 0 3 2 1 0
@ Portsmouth18 Apr 90 2 3 2 1 1
Swansea City11 Apr 73 2 3 0 0 0
@ Sheffield Wednesday6 Apr 89 1 4 0 1 0
Preston North End3 Apr 88 3 4 1 0 0
@ Watford21 Mar 89 1 3 0 1 0
Queens Park Rangers14 Mar 30 0 0 0 1 0
Bristol City10 Mar 22 1 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 4 games · Patson Daka booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Dean Whitestone 3 games · Patson Daka never booked 3.41cards/game 0.85×vs league
John Busby 3 games · Patson Daka never booked 3.82cards/game 0.95×vs league
Josh Smith 3 games · Patson Daka never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Patson Daka have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 37% of 41 Championship appearances (15 of 41). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Patson Daka average?

Across 41 Championship appearances in 25/26, Patson Daka is averaging 0.86 shots on target and 2.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patson Daka get booked?

Patson Daka is averaging 0.09 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patson Daka commit or win more fouls?

This season Patson Daka commits 1.04 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patson Daka?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Patson Daka plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.