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SharpXI©
Championship 25/26
PA

Patson Daka

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Hamburger SVChampionship 25/26

Also in: Premier LeagueBundesliga

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.23 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
Total shots2.83 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
Fouls won0.86 per 90
70%
7 of 101.6×
Fouls committed0.86 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.25 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
30%
3 of 104.0×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.25 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patson Daka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Blackburn Rovers2 May 72 0 1 0 1 0 0
Millwall24 Apr 89 0 1 1 1 0 0
Hull City21 Apr 90 0 3 2 1 0 0
@ Portsmouth18 Apr 90 2 3 2 1 0 1
Swansea City11 Apr 73 2 3 0 0 0 0
@ Sheffield Wednesday6 Apr 89 1 4 0 1 0 0
Preston North End3 Apr 88 3 4 1 0 2 0
@ Watford21 Mar 89 1 3 0 1 0 0
Queens Park Rangers14 Mar 30 0 0 0 1 0 0
Bristol City10 Mar 22 1 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Gavin Ward 4 games Patson Daka booked in 1 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league
John Busby 3 games Patson Daka never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Josh Smith 3 games Patson Daka never booked 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Matt Donohue 3 games Patson Daka never booked 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Patson Daka have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Patson Daka has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Patson Daka average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Patson Daka is averaging 1.23 shots on target and 2.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patson Daka get booked?

Patson Daka is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patson Daka commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Patson Daka commits 0.86 fouls per 90 and wins 0.86 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patson Daka?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patson Daka plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.