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Championship 26/27
LU

Luca Kjerrumgaard

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts WatfordChampionship 26/27

Next match
Watford vs Burnley›
Sat 10 OctReferee Andy Madley

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.92 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.60MGMEdge
Total shots2.02 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.07bet365Edge
Fouls won0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed0.92 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.37 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00bet365Edge
Goals0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Luca Kjerrumgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Luca Kjerrumgaard in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luca KjerrumgaardWatford 71.89 0.81
Mohamed TouréNorwich City 72.17 0.99
Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers 82.27 0.91
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
Tairyk ArconteMillwall 72.79 0.35
These 5, combined 2.00 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luca Kjerrumgaard featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bristol City18 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 0 0
Stoke City12 Sep 21 1 1 0 0 0 0
Preston North End8 Sep 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ West Brom5 Sep 82 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Swansea City1 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Ham29 Aug 60 0 3 1 0 1 0
@ Wrexham22 Aug 67 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ Middlesbrough25 Apr 63 2 3 0 0 0 0
@ West Brom21 Apr 75 1 1 1 0 1 0
Sheffield United18 Apr 19 0 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Lewis Smith 4 games Luca Kjerrumgaard booked in 1 3.65cards/game 0.91×vs league
Adam Herczeg 4 games Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 3.85cards/game 0.96×vs league
John Busby 3 games Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Josh Smith 3 games Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luca Kjerrumgaard have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Luca Kjerrumgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luca Kjerrumgaard average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Luca Kjerrumgaard is averaging 0.92 shots on target and 2.02 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luca Kjerrumgaard get booked?

Luca Kjerrumgaard is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luca Kjerrumgaard commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Luca Kjerrumgaard commits 0.92 fouls per 90 and wins 0.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Kjerrumgaard?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Kjerrumgaard plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.