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Championship · 25/26
LU

Luca Kjerrumgaard

Forward · Watford · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Luca Kjerrumgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% of 43 Championship appearances (26 of 43), 1+ total shot in 79%, 1+ foul committed in 44%, 1+ foul won in 26%, and been booked in 2% (1 of 43). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 43 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.13
70%7 of 10
2.40
10%1 of 10
0.14
50%5 of 10
0.85
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luca Kjerrumgaard featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Middlesbrough25 Apr 63 2 3 0 0 0
@ West Brom21 Apr 75 1 1 1 0 0
Sheffield United18 Apr 19 0 0 1 0 0
@ Oxford United11 Apr 61 1 3 1 0 0
Charlton Athletic6 Apr 63 0 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers3 Apr 90 1 2 0 1 0
Leicester21 Mar 76 1 1 0 0 0
Wrexham17 Mar 90 1 2 1 0 0
@ Stoke City14 Mar 11 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sheffield Wednesday10 Mar 90 1 5 2 0 0
Officials on record
Adam Herczeg 4 games · Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 3.90cards/game 0.97×vs league
Lewis Smith 3 games · Luca Kjerrumgaard booked in 1 3.70cards/game 0.92×vs league
Ben Toner 3 games · Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 4.46cards/game 1.11×vs league
Dean Whitestone 3 games · Luca Kjerrumgaard never booked 3.41cards/game 0.85×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Luca Kjerrumgaard have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Luca Kjerrumgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% of 43 Championship appearances (26 of 43). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Luca Kjerrumgaard average?

Across 43 Championship appearances in 25/26, Luca Kjerrumgaard is averaging 1.07 shots on target and 2.13 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luca Kjerrumgaard get booked?

Luca Kjerrumgaard is averaging 0.03 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luca Kjerrumgaard commit or win more fouls?

This season Luca Kjerrumgaard commits 1.00 fouls per 90 and wins 0.50 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Kjerrumgaard?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luca Kjerrumgaard plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.