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Championship 26/27
PA

Patrick Bamford

Striker 97% of 30 recent starts Sheffield UnitedChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Sheffield United vs Lincoln City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Josh Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.77 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.50MGMEdge
Total shots1.43 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.03bet365Edge
Fouls won0.88 per 90
70%
7 of 101.6×
Fouls committed1.10 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.44 per 90
30%
3 of 101.0×
20%
2 of 102.7×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
9.00bet365Edge
Goals0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 104.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Patrick Bamford has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Patrick Bamford in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 18 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Patrick BamfordSheffield United 71.47 1.31
Sam DalbyBolton Wanderers 81.41 1.41
Tyreece CampbellCharlton Athletic 81.79 1.10
Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers 82.27 0.91
August PriskeBirmingham City 72.53 1.74
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
These 5, combined 1.88 1.27

Recent matches

The last 10 games Patrick Bamford featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Stoke City19 Sep 80 0 0 3 1 0 0
Wolves13 Sep 90 0 1 2 1 1 0
Norwich5 Sep 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
Bolton Wanderers1 Sep 90 2 4 0 1 2 0
@ Cardiff City29 Aug 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Swansea City22 Aug 78 0 1 2 2 0 0
Birmingham City15 Aug 77 1 2 0 0 1 0
@ Derby County2 May 90 1 1 1 1 0 0
Preston North End25 Apr 90 1 2 1 1 0 0
Blackburn Rovers22 Apr 90 1 1 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
John Busby 7 games Patrick Bamford never booked 3.80cards/game 0.95×vs league
Josh Smith 6 games Patrick Bamford never booked 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Oliver Langford 6 games Patrick Bamford never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Tom Nield 5 games Patrick Bamford booked in 1 3.87cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Patrick Bamford have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Patrick Bamford has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Patrick Bamford average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Patrick Bamford is averaging 0.77 shots on target and 1.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Patrick Bamford get booked?

Patrick Bamford is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Patrick Bamford commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Patrick Bamford commits 1.10 fouls per 90 and wins 0.88 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Patrick Bamford?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Patrick Bamford plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.