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Championship · 25/26
BE

Ben Brereton Díaz

Midfielder · Derby County · Championship 25/26

In 25/26, Ben Brereton Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 45% of 40 Championship appearances (18 of 40), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 65%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (8 of 40). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.77
70%7 of 10
1.65
50%5 of 10
1.21
50%5 of 10
0.77
40%4 of 10
0.44
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Derby County at Charlton Athletic
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ben Brereton Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Sheffield United2 May 68 0 0 1 2 0
@ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1
@ Norwich21 Apr 67 0 0 0 0 1
Oxford United18 Apr 90 0 1 0 0 0
Stoke City6 Apr 89 1 4 0 2 0
@ Coventry City3 Apr 90 2 2 0 2 0
Birmingham City21 Mar 90 1 1 1 4 0
@ Portsmouth16 Mar 83 1 1 3 1 1
@ Millwall10 Mar 60 0 2 0 0 0
Sheffield Wednesday7 Mar 90 2 4 1 0 1
Officials on record
Josh Smith 7 games · Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 1 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
David Webb 6 games · Ben Brereton Díaz never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
Matt Donohue 5 games · Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 3 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Oliver Langford 5 games · Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 3 3.74cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Ben Brereton Díaz have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ben Brereton Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 45% of 40 Championship appearances (18 of 40). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Ben Brereton Díaz average?

Across 40 Championship appearances in 25/26, Ben Brereton Díaz is averaging 0.67 shots on target and 1.73 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ben Brereton Díaz get booked?

Ben Brereton Díaz is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ben Brereton Díaz commit or win more fouls?

This season Ben Brereton Díaz commits 1.12 fouls per 90 and wins 0.91 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ben Brereton Díaz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Ben Brereton Díaz plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.