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Championship 26/27
BE

Ben Brereton Díaz

Winger 70% of 30 recent starts Sheffield UnitedChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier LeagueLa Liga

Next match
Sheffield United vs Lincoln City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Josh Smith

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship winger, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.75MGMEdge
Total shots0.58 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won1.45 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Fouls committed1.60 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Tackles1.02 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
10%
1 of 100.8×
Cards0.29 per 90
20%
2 of 102.1×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Ben Brereton Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Ben Brereton Díaz in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ben Brereton DíazSheffield United 70.91 2.05
Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton 81.63 1.30
Yu HirakawaBristol City 82.13 1.24
Carlos VicenteBirmingham City 82.10 1.20
Rodrigo GomesWolverhampton 71.65 1.10
Othmane MaammaWatford 81.53 0.96
These 5, combined 1.82 1.17

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ben Brereton Díaz featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Stoke City19 Sep 80 0 1 1 1 1 0
Wolves13 Sep 64 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Blackburn Rovers8 Sep 83 0 0 2 1 2 0
Norwich5 Sep 77 0 1 3 2 2 0
Bolton Wanderers1 Sep 80 1 2 2 3 0 0
@ Cardiff City29 Aug 10 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Watford16 Aug 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sheffield United2 May 68 0 0 1 2 1 0
@ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr 90 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ Norwich21 Apr 67 0 0 0 0 0 1
Officials on record
Josh Smith 8 games Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 1 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Matt Donohue 7 games Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 3 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
David Webb 6 games Ben Brereton Díaz never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Oliver Langford 5 games Ben Brereton Díaz booked in 3 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ben Brereton Díaz have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Ben Brereton Díaz has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ben Brereton Díaz average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Ben Brereton Díaz is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ben Brereton Díaz get booked?

Ben Brereton Díaz is averaging 0.29 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ben Brereton Díaz commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ben Brereton Díaz commits 1.60 fouls per 90 and wins 1.45 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ben Brereton Díaz?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ben Brereton Díaz plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.