What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 9 games
Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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In 26/27, Max Kilman has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 9 Championship appearances (2 of 9), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 56%, 1+ foul won in 22%, and been booked in 33% (3 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Max Kilman in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 37 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max KilmanWest Ham United | 9 | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| Sean McLoughlinBlackburn Rovers | 8 | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Matthew PollockWatford | 8 | 0.50 | 1.12 |
| Mark McGuinnessSheffield United | 5 | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Dion SandersonDerby County | 7 | 0.31 | 1.08 |
| Kévin Keben BiakoloWatford | 8 | 0.12 | 1.12 |
| These 5, combined | 0.34 | 1.01 |
Recent matches
The last 9 games Max Kilman featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park Rangers9 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Millwall19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Wrexham11 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bolton Wanderers8 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Derby County5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wolves1 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Watford29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlton Athletic22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Burnley16 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Max Kilman have a shot on target?
In 26/27, Max Kilman has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 9 Championship appearances (2 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Max Kilman average?
Across 9 Championship appearances in 26/27, Max Kilman is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Max Kilman get booked?
Max Kilman is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Max Kilman commit or win more fouls?
This season Max Kilman commits 0.78 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Max Kilman?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Max Kilman plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.