Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
BE

Ben Wilmot

Centre-back 73% of 30 recent starts Stoke CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Stoke City at Bolton Wanderers›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Kirk

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.75bet365Edge
Total shots0.54 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
Fouls committed1.07 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles1.71 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 26/27, Ben Wilmot has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8), 1+ total shot in 38%, 1+ foul committed in 62%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 12% (1 of 8). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ben Wilmot in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 37 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ben WilmotStoke City 80.53 1.20
Kévin Keben BiakoloWatford 80.12 1.12
Dion SandersonDerby County 70.31 1.08
Matthew PollockWatford 80.50 1.12
Mark McGuinnessSheffield United 50.20 0.80
Sean McLoughlinBlackburn Rovers 80.50 0.88
These 5, combined 0.34 1.01

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ben Wilmot featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sheffield United19 Sep 90 0 2 1 0 1 0
@ Watford12 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Cardiff City8 Sep 90 0 0 4 0 1 1
Charlton Athletic5 Sep 90 0 1 2 1 2 0
Norwich1 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Wolves29 Aug 90 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ Southampton22 Aug 90 0 1 1 0 1 0
Swansea City15 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Swansea City7 Mar 75 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Coventry City28 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 5 0
Officials on record
David Webb 9 games Ben Wilmot booked in 4 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 9 games Ben Wilmot booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Oliver Langford 9 games Ben Wilmot booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Gavin Ward 8 games Ben Wilmot never booked 3.73cards/game 0.93×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ben Wilmot have a shot on target?

In 26/27, Ben Wilmot has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 8 Championship appearances (0 of 8). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ben Wilmot average?

Across 8 Championship appearances in 26/27, Ben Wilmot is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.53 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ben Wilmot get booked?

Ben Wilmot is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ben Wilmot commit or win more fouls?

This season Ben Wilmot commits 1.20 fouls per 90 and wins 0.27 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ben Wilmot?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ben Wilmot plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.