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Championship 26/27
LU

Luke Graham

Wide centre-back 83% of 6 recent starts Stoke CityChampionship 26/27

Next match
Stoke City at Bolton Wanderers›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Kirk

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 6 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 6 games

Compared with a Championship wide centre-back, 25/26, 665 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
6.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
2.25bet365Edge
Fouls won1.83 per 90
100%Hot
6 of 62.4×
Fouls committed0.83 per 90
67%
4 of 61.3×
Tackles1.83 per 90
83%Hot
5 of 61.1×
0%
0 of 6
Cards0.33 per 90
33%
2 of 62.1×
5.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 6
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 6 Championship games, Luke Graham has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 6), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 33% (2 of 6). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 6

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Luke Graham in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luke GrahamStoke City 60.00 0.83
Deji ElereweLincoln City 80.75 0.88
Amari'i BellCharlton Athletic 70.00 0.31
Tom AtchesonBlackburn Rovers 70.15 1.07
Sondre LangåsDerby County 80.12 0.62
George TannerBristol City 60.40 1.00
These 5, combined 0.29 0.76

Recent matches

The last 6 games Luke Graham featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sheffield United19 Sep 90 0 0 0 4 0 0
@ Watford12 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ Cardiff City8 Sep 90 0 0 1 1 1 1
Charlton Athletic5 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 3 0
Norwich1 Sep 90 0 0 1 1 3 0
Swansea City15 Aug 90 0 0 2 2 2 1

Frequently asked

How often does Luke Graham have a shot on target?

Over the last 6 Championship games, Luke Graham has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 6). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luke Graham average?

Across the last 6 Championship games, Luke Graham is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luke Graham get booked?

Luke Graham is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 6 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luke Graham commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 6 games Luke Graham commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 1.83 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luke Graham?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luke Graham plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.