What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship centre-back, 25/26, 2,357 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Joe Worrall has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Joe Worrall in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 38 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe WorrallWrexham | 1 | 0.00 | 1.34 |
| Ben WilmotStoke City | 8 | 0.53 | 1.20 |
| Lisav Naif EissatBristol City | 8 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Nathan WoodSouthampton | 7 | 0.33 | 0.49 |
| Nathaniel PhillipsWest Bromwich Albion | 8 | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| Matthew PollockWatford | 8 | 0.50 | 1.12 |
| These 5, combined | 0.54 | 0.91 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joe Worrall featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ West Ham11 Sep | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sheffield United21 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Norwich11 Apr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City4 Mar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City12 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Plymouth Argyle22 Jan | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Norwich15 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth21 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Leeds14 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Blackburn Rovers31 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Joe Worrall have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Joe Worrall has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joe Worrall average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Joe Worrall is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joe Worrall get booked?
Joe Worrall is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joe Worrall commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joe Worrall commits 0.74 fouls per 90 and wins 0.49 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joe Worrall?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joe Worrall plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.