What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Worrall has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 10%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Joe Worrall in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe WorrallWrexham | 11 | 0.17 | 0.70 |
| Bafodé DiakitéBournemouth | 18 | 0.07 | 0.56 |
| Radu DrăguşinTottenham Hotspur | 10 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Max KilmanWest Ham United | 21 | 0.40 | 0.92 |
| William SalibaArsenal | 31 | 0.17 | 0.76 |
| Tyrone MingsAston Villa | 17 | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| These 5, combined | 0.32 | 0.80 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joe Worrall featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth14 Mar | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton3 Mar | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brentford28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea21 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth20 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle6 Dec | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa5 Oct | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liverpool14 Sep | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd30 Aug | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Joe Worrall have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Worrall has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joe Worrall average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Joe Worrall is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.18 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joe Worrall get booked?
Joe Worrall is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joe Worrall commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joe Worrall commits 0.71 fouls per 90 and wins 0.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joe Worrall?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joe Worrall plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.