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Championship 26/27
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Tommy Conway

Striker 67% of 30 recent starts MiddlesbroughChampionship 26/27

Next match
Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton›
Sat 10 OctReferee Farai Hallam

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.11 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.53bet365Edge
Total shots2.40 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won2.03 per 90
60%
6 of 101.4×
Fouls committed0.55 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles0.74 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 8
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.55 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.37 per 90
10%
1 of 102.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Conway has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Tommy Conway in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Tommy ConwayMiddlesbrough 61.30 0.43
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Mohamed TouréNorwich City 72.17 0.99
Tairyk ArconteMillwall 72.79 0.35
Kieffer MooreWrexham 82.49 1.15
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
These 5, combined 2.03 1.17

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Tommy Conway featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Birmingham City19 Sep 27 0 0 0 0 0 0
Millwall15 Sep 45 0 1 0 0 0 0
Norwich12 Sep 63 0 1 1 4 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers5 Sep 35 1 1 0 0 0 0
@ Burnley2 Sep 29 0 0 0 0 1 0
West Brom29 Aug 9 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Southampton12 May 73 0 1 1 3 0 0
Southampton9 May 90 2 4 0 1 1 0
@ Wrexham2 May 90 1 2 0 1 0 0
Watford25 Apr 27 2 3 1 1 1 0
Officials on record
David Webb 12 games Tommy Conway booked in 1 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 10 games Tommy Conway booked in 1 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league
Oliver Langford 8 games Tommy Conway booked in 1 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Tom Nield 7 games Tommy Conway booked in 1 3.87cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Tommy Conway have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Conway has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Tommy Conway average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Tommy Conway is averaging 1.11 shots on target and 2.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Tommy Conway get booked?

Tommy Conway is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Tommy Conway commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Tommy Conway commits 0.55 fouls per 90 and wins 2.03 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Tommy Conway?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Tommy Conway plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.