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Bundesliga 26/27
LU

Lukas Ullrich

Full-back 72% of 29 recent starts Borussia M'gladbachBundesliga 26/27

Next match
Borussia M'gladbach at 1. FC Köln›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
9.50PPEdge
Total shots1.29 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
1.73PPEdge
Fouls won0.92 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
1.50bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.29 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles2.59 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.18 per 90
10%
1 of 100.9×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.37 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Lukas Ullrich has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23), 1+ total shot in 39%, 1+ foul committed in 48%, 1+ foul won in 39%, and been booked in 9% (2 of 23). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Lukas Ullrich in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lukas UllrichBorussia M'gladbach 230.68 1.16
Omar Haktab TraoreWatford 260.59 1.31
Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim 290.56 0.85
Lukas KüblerSC Freiburg 231.07 1.13
Ridle BakuRB Leipzig 321.08 0.83
Luca NetzNottingham Forest 150.19 0.76
These 5, combined 0.78 0.97

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lukas Ullrich featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 0519 Sep 90 0 2 2 0 2 1
SV 07 Elversberg5 Sep 81 0 1 1 3 3 0
@ RB Leipzig29 Aug 64 0 1 2 0 2 0
TSG Hoffenheim16 May 90 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ FC Augsburg9 May 45 0 0 0 0 2 0
1. FSV Mainz 0519 Apr 18 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig11 Apr 33 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln21 Mar 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
FC St. Pauli13 Mar 33 0 1 1 0 2 0
@ FC Bayern München6 Mar 23 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 6 games Lukas Ullrich booked in 2 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Robert Hartmann 5 games Lukas Ullrich booked in 1 3.86cards/game 0.95×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games Lukas Ullrich never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Sören Storks 4 games Lukas Ullrich booked in 1 4.72cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lukas Ullrich have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Lukas Ullrich has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lukas Ullrich average?

Across 23 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Lukas Ullrich is averaging 0.14 shots on target and 0.68 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lukas Ullrich get booked?

Lukas Ullrich is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lukas Ullrich commit or win more fouls?

This season Lukas Ullrich commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lukas Ullrich?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lukas Ullrich plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.