Harry Kane
Also in: Bundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Harry Kane has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry KaneFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 31 | 4.50 | 0.94 |
| Erling HaalandManchester City | 35 | 3.83 | 0.73 |
| Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United | 30 | 3.36 | 0.94 |
| Ollie WatkinsAston Villa | 37 | 2.62 | 1.10 |
| Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace | 32 | 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United | 18 | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| These 5, combined | 3.12 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Harry Kane featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leeds28 May | 90 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brentford20 May | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa13 May | 90 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Crystal Palace6 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool30 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Man Utd27 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Newcastle23 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth15 Apr | 90 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Brighton8 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Everton3 Apr | 90 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Harry Kane have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Harry Kane average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane is averaging 1.70 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Harry Kane get booked?
Harry Kane is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Harry Kane commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Harry Kane commits 0.60 fouls per 90 and wins 1.60 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Kane?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harry Kane plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.