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Premier League 22/23
HA

Harry Kane

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenPremier League 22/23

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
FC Bayern München at Manchester United›
Sat 10 OctReferee Stuart Attwell

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 38 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.70 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 102.5×
Total shots3.00 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
Fouls won1.60 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
Fouls committed0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.60 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
44%
4 of 97.6×
Cards0.20 per 90
20%
2 of 102.2×
Goals0.90 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 104.1×
form only
Assists0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

Harry Kane has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Harry KaneFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 314.50 0.94
Erling HaalandManchester City 353.83 0.73
Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United 303.36 0.94
Ollie WatkinsAston Villa 372.62 1.10
Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace 322.55 0.85
Valentín CastellanosWest Ham United 183.23 2.06
These 5, combined 3.12 1.05

Recent matches

The last 10 games Harry Kane featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Leeds28 May 90 3 3 1 0 0 0
Brentford20 May 90 2 4 0 0 0 0
@ Aston Villa13 May 90 2 2 2 3 1 1
Crystal Palace6 May 90 1 1 0 4 0 0
@ Liverpool30 Apr 90 1 1 0 2 1 0
Man Utd27 Apr 90 1 4 0 1 1 0
@ Newcastle23 Apr 90 2 3 1 1 1 0
Bournemouth15 Apr 90 2 6 1 2 0 0
Brighton8 Apr 90 1 3 0 1 2 0
@ Everton3 Apr 90 2 3 1 2 0 1
Officials on record
Craig Pawson 3 games Harry Kane booked in 1 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Andy Madley 3 games Harry Kane never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Paul Tierney 3 games Harry Kane never booked 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league
Stuart Attwell 3 games Harry Kane never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Harry Kane have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane has hit 1+ shot on target in 100% (10 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Harry Kane average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Harry Kane is averaging 1.70 shots on target and 3.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Harry Kane get booked?

Harry Kane is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Harry Kane commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Harry Kane commits 0.60 fouls per 90 and wins 1.60 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Harry Kane?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Harry Kane plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.