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Bundesliga 26/27
BR

Brajan Gruda

Attacking midfielder 53% of 30 recent starts RB LeipzigBundesliga 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt›
Sat 10 OctReferee Daniel Siebert

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 46 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.19 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
1.53MGMEdge
Total shots2.71 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.08PPEdge
Fouls won1.86 per 90
60%
6 of 101.3×
1.22bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles1.19 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
30%
3 of 102.7×
Cards0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
6.50bet365Edge
Goals0.34 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.34 per 90
20%
2 of 102.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Brajan Gruda has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 13 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 13), 1+ total shot in 69%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, 1+ foul won in 46%, and been booked in 8% (1 of 13). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Brajan Gruda in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 28 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Brajan GrudaRB Leipzig 132.62 1.19
Johan BakayokoRB Leipzig 202.77 1.27
Luis DíazFC Bayern München 323.23 1.29
Yan DiomandeReal Madrid 331.93 0.69
Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 1.11
Rayan PhilippeSC Paderborn 07 282.72 1.67
These 5, combined 2.47 1.14

Recent matches

The last 10 games Brajan Gruda featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 Sep 26 0 1 2 1 0 0
Hamburger SV13 Sep 90 0 2 2 2 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach29 Aug 73 2 2 0 2 1 0
@ SC Freiburg16 May 63 0 1 0 0 0 0
FC St. Pauli9 May 79 0 3 2 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen2 May 45 1 2 1 1 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin24 Apr 22 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt18 Apr 31 1 2 0 0 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach11 Apr 12 0 0 0 0 1 1
TSG Hoffenheim20 Mar 90 3 3 0 4 3 0
Officials on record
Benjamin Brand 4 games Brajan Gruda booked in 2 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Bastian Dankert 4 games Brajan Gruda booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 4 games Brajan Gruda booked in 1 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Frank Willenborg 4 games Brajan Gruda never booked 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Brajan Gruda have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Brajan Gruda has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of 13 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 13). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Brajan Gruda average?

Across 13 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Brajan Gruda is averaging 1.19 shots on target and 2.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Brajan Gruda get booked?

Brajan Gruda is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Brajan Gruda commit or win more fouls?

This season Brajan Gruda commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 1.43 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Brajan Gruda?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Brajan Gruda plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.