Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Serie A 25/26
ST

Stefan Posch

Full-back 87% of 30 recent starts 1. FSV Mainz 05Serie A 25/26

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs AS Roma›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Fabbri

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.62 per 90
20%
2 of 102.0×
Total shots1.88 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
Fouls won1.56 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed2.81 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles2.50 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.31 per 90
10%
1 of 103.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Stefan Posch has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Stefan Posch in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 54 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Stefan Posch1. FSV Mainz 05 141.77 2.00
Federico GattiJuventus 211.15 1.39
Jacobo RamónComo 321.28 1.08
Guillermo MaripánTorino 270.75 1.13
Stefan de VrijInter 110.80 0.67
Isak HienAtalanta 280.41 1.65
These 5, combined 0.90 1.23

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Stefan Posch featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Lazio19 Jan 45 0 1 2 0 1 1
Bologna10 Jan 27 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Pisa6 Jan 8 0 0 0 0 1 0
Udinese3 Jan 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ AS Roma15 Dec 25 1 3 0 0 0 0
@ Inter6 Dec 45 0 0 3 2 0 0
Sassuolo28 Nov 31 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Torino24 Nov 9 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ SSC Napoli1 Nov 19 0 0 1 0 2 0
Hellas Verona29 Oct 78 1 1 0 2 3 0
Officials on record
Luca Pairetto 8 games Stefan Posch booked in 1 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league
Federico La Penna 5 games Stefan Posch booked in 2 4.32cards/game 1.03×vs league
Simone Sozza 5 games Stefan Posch booked in 1 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league
Marco Di Bello 4 games Stefan Posch booked in 1 3.63cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Stefan Posch have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Stefan Posch has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Stefan Posch average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Stefan Posch is averaging 0.62 shots on target and 1.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Stefan Posch get booked?

Stefan Posch is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Stefan Posch commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Stefan Posch commits 2.81 fouls per 90 and wins 1.56 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Stefan Posch?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Stefan Posch plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.