Oliver Provstgaard
Centre-back 100% of 18 recent starts LazioSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Oliver Provstgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Oliver Provstgaard in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver ProvstgaardLazio | 26 | 0.35 | 0.82 |
| Raúl AlbiolPisa | 8 | 0.18 | 1.08 |
| Francesco AcerbiInter | 18 | 0.19 | 1.10 |
| Alessio RomagnoliLazio | 32 | 0.30 | 0.61 |
| Jamil SiebertLecce | 21 | 0.32 | 1.16 |
| Koni De WinterAC Milan | 26 | 0.35 | 1.35 |
| These 5, combined | 0.29 | 1.00 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Oliver Provstgaard featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Venezia19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| AC Milan12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese7 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Genoa29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Bologna22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pisa23 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Inter9 May | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cremonese4 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Udinese27 Apr | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Serie A official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Oliver Provstgaard have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Oliver Provstgaard has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Oliver Provstgaard average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Oliver Provstgaard is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.45 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Oliver Provstgaard get booked?
Oliver Provstgaard is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Oliver Provstgaard commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Oliver Provstgaard commits 1.69 fouls per 90 and wins 0.34 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Oliver Provstgaard?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Oliver Provstgaard plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.