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Serie A 26/27
MA

Mattia Zaccagni

Winger 100% of 30 recent starts LazioSerie A 26/27

Next match
Lazio vs Monza›
Sun 11 OctReferee Giuseppe Collu

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A winger, 25/26, 889 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.28 per 90
70%
7 of 102.3×
1.62bet365Edge
Total shots2.44 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
1.12PPEdge
Fouls won2.09 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
1.06PPEdge
Fouls committed0.81 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.33PPEdge
Tackles1.51 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.0×
38%
3 of 82.6×
Cards0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
4.50PPEdge
Goals0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 102.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Zaccagni has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Mattia Zaccagni in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 33 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mattia ZaccagniLazio 261.45 1.28
Gabriel StrefezzaParma 142.13 1.86
Nicolò CambiaghiBologna 281.41 1.88
Assane DiaoComo 172.48 1.24
Matteo CancellieriLazio 302.12 2.02
Jesús RodriguezComo 312.34 1.30
These 5, combined 2.08 1.67

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mattia Zaccagni featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Venezia19 Sep 87 1 3 0 2 1 0
AC Milan12 Sep 90 3 3 2 3 2 1
@ Udinese7 Sep 89 2 4 0 0 1 0
Genoa29 Aug 90 0 3 0 3 1 1
@ Bologna22 Aug 90 1 3 1 1 2 0
@ Cremonese4 May 60 0 0 2 1 0 0
@ SSC Napoli18 Apr 61 1 2 0 2 1 0
@ Fiorentina13 Apr 45 2 2 0 2 1 0
AC Milan15 Mar 83 0 0 1 3 2 0
Sassuolo9 Mar 79 1 1 1 1 2 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 11 games Mattia Zaccagni booked in 2 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Davide Massa 10 games Mattia Zaccagni booked in 7 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Michael Fabbri 7 games Mattia Zaccagni booked in 2 4.29cards/game 1.02×vs league
Simone Sozza 6 games Mattia Zaccagni booked in 3 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Mattia Zaccagni have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Zaccagni has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mattia Zaccagni average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mattia Zaccagni is averaging 1.28 shots on target and 2.44 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mattia Zaccagni get booked?

Mattia Zaccagni is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mattia Zaccagni commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mattia Zaccagni commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 2.09 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mattia Zaccagni?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mattia Zaccagni plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.