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Bundesliga 26/27
KO

Koki Machida

Defender TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 26/27

Next match
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 3 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 3 games

Compared with a Bundesliga defender, 25/26, 2,879 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
4.33bet365Edge
Total shots0.58 per 90
33%
1 of 30.9×
1.83bet365Edge
Fouls won0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.32 per 90
67%
2 of 31.4×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles1.74 per 90
67%
2 of 31.0×
0%
0 of 3
Cards0.58 per 90
33%
1 of 32.1×
3.60bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 3
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 3 Bundesliga games, Koki Machida has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 33% (1 of 3). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 3

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Koki Machida in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 33 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Koki MachidaTSG Hoffenheim 10.00 4.09
Niklas StarkSV Werder Bremen 140.37 1.36
Julián MalatiniSV Werder Bremen 110.33 1.17
Niklas SüleBorussia Dortmund 110.37 1.48
Daniel ElfadliLASK 210.28 1.42
Dominik Kohr1. FSV Mainz 05 290.58 1.54
These 5, combined 0.44 1.44

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 3 games Koki Machida featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Paderborn 0720 Sep 90 0 1 2 0 2 0
VfB Stuttgart12 Sep 21 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen23 Aug 44 0 0 2 0 1 1

Frequently asked

How often does Koki Machida have a shot on target?

Over the last 3 Bundesliga games, Koki Machida has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 3). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Koki Machida average?

Across the last 3 Bundesliga games, Koki Machida is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Koki Machida get booked?

Koki Machida is averaging 0.58 cards per 90 over the last 3 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Koki Machida commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 3 games Koki Machida commits 2.32 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Koki Machida?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Koki Machida plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.