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SharpXI©
La Liga 22/23
NI

Nicolas Jackson

Striker 100% of 16 recent starts Aston VillaLa Liga 22/23

Also in: Premier LeagueBundesliga

Next match
Aston Villa at Real Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 26 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.74 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.7×
Total shots2.78 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
Fouls won1.62 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
Fouls committed1.16 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.81 per 90
50%
5 of 101.4×
20%
2 of 101.8×
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 102.9×
Goals1.04 per 90
60%
6 of 102.7×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.7×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

Nicolas Jackson has no La Liga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Bundesliga 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 La Liga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nicolas JacksonAston VillaBundesliga 233.30 1.30
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano 73.64 1.53
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad 72.07 0.75
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo de A Coruña 72.73 0.64
Arnaut DanjumaValencia 72.57 1.03
ChupeteMálaga CF 82.21 1.52
These 5, combined 2.61 1.11

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolas Jackson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Atlético Madrid4 Jun 90 1 2 1 0 0 0
@ Rayo Vallecano28 May 90 0 1 0 2 2 1
Cádiz24 May 87 2 2 2 1 1 0
@ Girona FC20 May 90 0 0 1 3 2 0
Athletic Club13 May 66 3 3 0 3 1 0
@ Valencia3 May 90 1 3 1 1 0 1
Celta Vigo30 Apr 76 2 4 0 0 0 0
Espanyol27 Apr 89 3 4 3 1 0 1
@ Sevilla23 Apr 69 2 4 2 3 0 0
Real Valladolid15 Apr 31 1 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 5 games Nicolas Jackson never booked 4.32cards/game 0.89×vs league
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 3 games Nicolas Jackson booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolas Jackson have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Nicolas Jackson has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nicolas Jackson average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Nicolas Jackson is averaging 1.74 shots on target and 2.78 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolas Jackson get booked?

Nicolas Jackson is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolas Jackson commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nicolas Jackson commits 1.16 fouls per 90 and wins 1.62 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolas Jackson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolas Jackson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.