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SharpXI©
Premier League 25/26
DO

Donyell Malen

Striker 57% of 7 recent starts Aston VillaPremier League 25/26

Also in: Serie ABundesliga

Next match
Aston Villa vs Brentford›
Sat 10 OctReferee Craig Pawson

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 35 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.42 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Total shots3.96 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.85 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
Fouls committed0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Tackles0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
20%
2 of 103.4×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Donyell Malen has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Donyell Malen in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Donyell MalenAston Villa 213.57 0.26
Callum WilsonBrentford 322.71 0.86
Wilson IsidorSunderland 323.30 1.07
Chris WoodNottingham Forest 152.28 0.60
Alexander IsakLiverpool FC 142.14 0.63
Benjamin ŠeškoManchester United 303.36 0.94
These 5, combined 2.88 0.85

Recent matches

The last 10 games Donyell Malen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Crystal Palace7 Jan 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nottingham Forest3 Jan 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Arsenal30 Dec 29 1 3 0 1 0 0
@ Chelsea27 Dec 59 0 0 0 0 0 0
Man Utd21 Dec 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ West Ham14 Dec 26 1 1 1 1 0 0
Arsenal6 Dec 24 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Brighton3 Dec 13 2 2 0 0 0 0
Wolves30 Nov 75 1 5 0 0 0 0
@ Leeds23 Nov 45 0 2 0 1 1 0
Officials on record
Andy Madley 4 games Donyell Malen never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Stuart Attwell 4 games Donyell Malen never booked 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league
Craig Pawson 3 games Donyell Malen never booked 3.94cards/game 0.97×vs league
Michael Oliver 3 games Donyell Malen never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Donyell Malen have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Donyell Malen has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Donyell Malen average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Donyell Malen is averaging 1.42 shots on target and 3.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Donyell Malen get booked?

Donyell Malen is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Donyell Malen commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Donyell Malen commits 0.28 fouls per 90 and wins 0.85 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Donyell Malen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Donyell Malen plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.