What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A wing-back, 25/26, 1,428 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Wesley has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Wesley in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 48 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| WesleyAS Roma | 30 | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| Alexis SaelemaekersAC Milan | 35 | 1.38 | 0.84 |
| Brooke Norton-CuffyHull City | 27 | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| Marco PalestraChelsea | 37 | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| Idrissa TouréMonza | 32 | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| Martin FreseHellas Verona | 31 | 0.78 | 1.72 |
| These 5, combined | 0.97 | 1.12 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Wesley featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Atalanta5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Lecce31 Aug | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Fiorentina22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Lazio17 May | 70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Parma10 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiorentina4 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Bologna25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Como15 Mar | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Juventus1 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Wesley have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Wesley has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Wesley average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Wesley is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 0.76 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Wesley get booked?
Wesley is averaging 0.44 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Wesley commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Wesley commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 1.75 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Wesley?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Wesley plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.