Mikael Ellertsson
Wing-back 57% of 30 recent starts GenoaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A wing-back, 25/26, 1,428 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mikael Ellertsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wing-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Mikael Ellertsson in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 48 wing-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael EllertssonGenoa | 36 | 0.84 | 0.91 |
| Emanuele ValeriParma | 34 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Davide BartesaghiAC Milan | 31 | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| Aarón MartínReal Racing Club | 33 | 0.45 | 1.28 |
| Zeki ÇelikAS Roma | 34 | 0.73 | 1.15 |
| Brooke Norton-CuffyHull City | 27 | 0.65 | 0.93 |
| These 5, combined | 0.69 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mikael Ellertsson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Parma20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Frosinone12 Sep | 80 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Como4 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Lazio29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| SSC Napoli22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Lecce24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| AC Milan17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Fiorentina10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mikael Ellertsson have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mikael Ellertsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mikael Ellertsson average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mikael Ellertsson is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mikael Ellertsson get booked?
Mikael Ellertsson is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mikael Ellertsson commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mikael Ellertsson commits 1.01 fouls per 90 and wins 1.11 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mikael Ellertsson?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mikael Ellertsson plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.