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Serie A · 25/26
MI

Mikael Ellertsson

Forward · Genoa · Serie A 25/26

In 25/26, Mikael Ellertsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of his 36 Serie A appearances (6 of 36), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 64%. He has been booked in 6% (2 of 36). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.64
80%Hot8 of 10
1.81
40%4 of 10
0.74
10%1 of 10
0.11
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Genoa vs SSC Napoli
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mikael Ellertsson featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Lecce24 May 90 0 0 0 1 0
AC Milan17 May 90 0 0 0 2 0
@ Fiorentina10 May 90 0 0 3 3 0
@ Atalanta2 May 90 0 0 0 0 0
Como26 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 0
Sassuolo12 Apr 47 0 0 0 0 1
@ Juventus6 Apr 90 0 0 0 2 0
Udinese20 Mar 90 0 3 2 2 0
@ Hellas Verona15 Mar 90 0 0 1 3 0
AS Roma8 Mar 79 0 1 0 3 0

Frequently asked

How often does Mikael Ellertsson have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Mikael Ellertsson has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of his 36 Serie A appearances (6 of 36). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mikael Ellertsson average?

Across 36 Serie A appearances in 25/26, Mikael Ellertsson is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 0.84 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mikael Ellertsson get booked?

Mikael Ellertsson is averaging 0.06 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mikael Ellertsson commit or win more fouls?

This season Mikael Ellertsson commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 1.36 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mikael Ellertsson?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mikael Ellertsson plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.