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La Liga · 25/26
MA

Mario Hermoso

Defender · Atlético Madrid · La Liga 25/26

Over his last 10 La Liga games, Mario Hermoso has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, and 1+ foul won in 40%. He has been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.13
30%3 of 10
0.38
40%4 of 10
0.64
50%5 of 10
1.28
20%2 of 10
0.26
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Atlético Madrid vs Málaga CF
Wed 19 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mario Hermoso featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Real Sociedad25 May 20 0 0 0 0 0
Osasuna19 May 90 0 0 1 1 0
@ Getafe15 May 90 0 0 0 0 1
Celta Vigo12 May 90 0 0 3 1 0
@ Mallorca4 May 45 0 1 0 0 0
Athletic Club27 Apr 90 0 0 3 0 1
@ Deportivo Alavés21 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0
Girona FC13 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 0
@ Cádiz9 Mar 90 0 0 2 2 0
Real Betis3 Mar 90 1 1 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Mario Hermoso have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 La Liga games, Mario Hermoso has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mario Hermoso average?

Across his last 10 La Liga games, Mario Hermoso is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mario Hermoso get booked?

Mario Hermoso is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mario Hermoso commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Mario Hermoso commits 1.28 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mario Hermoso?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mario Hermoso plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.