Marcos Llorente
Full-back 77% of 30 recent starts Atlético MadridLa Liga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Marcos Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Marcos Llorente in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 19 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos LlorenteAtlético Madrid | 7 | 0.58 | 1.55 |
| Héctor BellerínReal Betis | 7 | 0.52 | 1.04 |
| Andrés GarcíaGetafe | 6 | 1.14 | 0.38 |
| Roger HinojoEspanyol | 8 | 0.17 | 0.83 |
| Eric GarcíaFC Barcelona | 6 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| Giacomo QuagliataDeportivo de A Coruña | 7 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| These 5, combined | 0.66 | 0.77 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marcos Llorente featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Osasuna16 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Real Sociedad13 Sep | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club5 Sep | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla30 Aug | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Villarreal23 Aug | 24 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Málaga CF19 Aug | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Villarreal24 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Osasuna12 May | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| Celta Vigo9 May | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marcos Llorente have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Marcos Llorente has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marcos Llorente average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Marcos Llorente is averaging 0.25 shots on target and 0.62 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marcos Llorente get booked?
Marcos Llorente is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marcos Llorente commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marcos Llorente commits 1.37 fouls per 90 and wins 0.37 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marcos Llorente?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marcos Llorente plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.