Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
AD

Adrià Pedrosa

Full-back 80% of 30 recent starts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club›
Sat 10 OctReferee José María Sánchez Martínez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.30 per 90
20%
2 of 102.1×
5.20MGMEdge
Total shots0.90 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
1.53PPEdge
Fouls won0.90 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.57bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.51 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.36PPEdge
Tackles2.41 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 103.2×
Cards0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 104.2×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Adrià Pedrosa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Adrià Pedrosa in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 20 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Adrià PedrosaRayo Vallecano 50.90 2.04
Jorge SalinasReal Racing Club 70.33 0.66
Andrei RațiuRayo Vallecano 61.17 0.67
Marcos LlorenteAtlético Madrid 70.58 1.55
Héctor BellerínReal Betis 70.52 1.04
Jon AramburuReal Sociedad 70.60 3.77
These 5, combined 0.64 1.58

Recent matches

The last 10 games Adrià Pedrosa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Osasuna19 Sep 90 0 0 1 4 6 0
Espanyol15 Sep 90 1 2 1 1 1 0
@ Real Madrid12 Sep 85 0 0 4 0 2 0
Real Racing Club5 Sep 75 1 2 1 0 1 0
@ FC Barcelona31 Aug 58 0 0 2 1 2 1
@ Girona FC23 May 15 0 0 0 0 1 0
Getafe17 May 24 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Real Betis12 May 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Celta Vigo3 May 69 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Real Oviedo26 Apr 82 0 0 1 0 2 0
Officials on record
Alejandro Hernandez 8 games Adrià Pedrosa booked in 1 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos 8 games Adrià Pedrosa never booked 5.31cards/game 1.09×vs league
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 7 games Adrià Pedrosa booked in 2 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league
Javier Alberola Rojas 6 games Adrià Pedrosa booked in 3 3.68cards/game 0.76×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Adrià Pedrosa have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Adrià Pedrosa has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Adrià Pedrosa average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Adrià Pedrosa is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.90 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Adrià Pedrosa get booked?

Adrià Pedrosa is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Adrià Pedrosa commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Adrià Pedrosa commits 1.51 fouls per 90 and wins 0.90 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Adrià Pedrosa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Adrià Pedrosa plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.