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La Liga 26/27
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Carlos Romero

Full-back 97% of 30 recent starts VillarrealLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Villarreal at Real Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.44 per 90
40%
4 of 104.2×
5.00PPEdge
Total shots1.64 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.8×
1.87MGMEdge
Fouls won1.42 per 90
70%
7 of 101.6×
1.62PPEdge
Fouls committed0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.50PPEdge
Tackles1.42 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
11%
1 of 93.5×
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
3.40bet365Edge
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 104.2×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.6×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Carlos Romero has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Carlos Romero in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 20 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Carlos RomeroVillarreal 50.93 0.47
Johan MojicaGetafe 60.90 0.54
Giacomo QuagliataDeportivo de A Coruña 70.79 0.79
Rafa GarridoMálaga CF 80.14 0.97
Ximo NavarroDeportivo de A Coruña 60.68 0.68
Iñigo ArguibideOsasuna 70.48 1.43
These 5, combined 0.57 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Carlos Romero featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Málaga CF17 Sep 27 0 1 0 1 0 0
Real Betis14 Sep 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Deportivo Alavés30 Aug 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Atlético Madrid23 Aug 90 0 0 0 2 2 0
@ Real Racing Club16 Aug 90 0 1 2 5 3 1
Real Sociedad23 May 90 1 3 0 1 2 0
@ Osasuna17 May 90 1 1 0 1 3 0
Athletic Club13 May 90 1 2 0 2 0 0
@ Sevilla9 May 75 0 1 0 1 0 0
Real Madrid3 May 90 1 4 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Alejandro Hernandez 7 games Carlos Romero booked in 2 5.91cards/game 1.22×vs league
Francisco Hernandez Maeso 7 games Carlos Romero never booked 4.26cards/game 0.88×vs league
Mateo Busquets Ferrer 6 games Carlos Romero never booked 5.69cards/game 1.17×vs league
Adrian Cordero Vega 5 games Carlos Romero never booked 4.55cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Carlos Romero have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Carlos Romero has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Carlos Romero average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Carlos Romero is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 1.64 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Carlos Romero get booked?

Carlos Romero is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Carlos Romero commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Carlos Romero commits 0.22 fouls per 90 and wins 1.42 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Carlos Romero?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Carlos Romero plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.