Nicolò Fagioli
Central midfielder 97% of 30 recent starts FiorentinaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A central midfielder, 25/26, 2,920 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Fagioli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Nicolò Fagioli in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 106 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò FagioliFiorentina | 33 | 1.16 | 0.81 |
| Ismael KonéSassuolo | 35 | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Luka ModrićAC Milan | 34 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| Kristjan AsllaniTorino | 15 | 1.59 | 0.56 |
| Nemanja MatićSassuolo | 34 | 0.37 | 0.81 |
| Nicolò BarellaInter | 34 | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| These 5, combined | 0.82 | 0.85 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nicolò Fagioli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSC Napoli20 Sep | 95 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Venezia11 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Torino5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Frosinone29 Aug | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma22 Aug | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Juventus17 May | 64 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma4 May | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sassuolo26 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Lecce20 Apr | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nicolò Fagioli have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Fagioli has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nicolò Fagioli average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Fagioli is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 1.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nicolò Fagioli get booked?
Nicolò Fagioli is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nicolò Fagioli commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Nicolò Fagioli commits 0.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.53 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolò Fagioli?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolò Fagioli plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.