Mateo Pellegrino
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts FiorentinaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mateo Pellegrino has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Mateo Pellegrino in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo PellegrinoFiorentina | 37 | 2.20 | 2.62 |
| Kieron BowieHellas Verona | 14 | 2.47 | 2.54 |
| Keinan DavisUdinese | 30 | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| Nicolò ZanioloUdinese | 32 | 2.86 | 2.46 |
| Lorenzo ColomboGenoa | 38 | 2.52 | 1.57 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| These 5, combined | 2.51 | 1.99 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Mateo Pellegrino featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSC Napoli20 Sep | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Venezia11 Sep | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Torino5 Sep | 76 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Frosinone29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Sassuolo24 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Como17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| AS Roma10 May | 37 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter3 May | 67 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pisa25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Mateo Pellegrino have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Mateo Pellegrino has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Mateo Pellegrino average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Mateo Pellegrino is averaging 0.50 shots on target and 1.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Mateo Pellegrino get booked?
Mateo Pellegrino is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Mateo Pellegrino commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Mateo Pellegrino commits 1.98 fouls per 90 and wins 2.60 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mateo Pellegrino?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mateo Pellegrino plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.