Matteo Marcenaro
Over his last 10 Serie A games, Matteo Marcenaro has averaged 4.10 cards a match — in line with the league average of 4.21. That's 4.1 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more of them — 2.5 to 1.6 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 40% of them (4 of 10), and he turned 16.7% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 13 penalties in 44 matches, 0.30 a game against a league average of 0.30. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Matteo Marcenaro turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.
| Measure | Marcenaro | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.00 | 4.21 |
| vs league | 1.19× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 21.2% | 17.0% |
| Fouls / match | 23.5 | 24.8 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 13 in 44 | — |
| Red cards shown | 13 | — |
| Matches on record | 44 (12 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Serie A games Matteo Marcenaro took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma v Atalanta18 Apr | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Lazio v Parma4 Apr | 1–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Bologna v Udinese23 Feb | 1–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 |
| AS Roma v Cagliari9 Feb | 2–0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Inter v Pisa23 Jan | 6–2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| AS Roma v Sassuolo10 Jan | 2–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
| Atalanta v Fiorentina30 Nov | 2–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| Pisa v Cremonese7 Nov | 1–0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Matteo Marcenaro give per game?
Matteo Marcenaro averages 5.00 cards a game across 44 Serie A matches — 19% above the league average of 4.21. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.19.
Is Matteo Marcenaro a strict referee?
Yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Matteo Marcenaro runs at 21.2% against a league average of 17.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Matteo Marcenaro's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Matteo Marcenaro's card rate?
It rests on 44 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.