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Premier League 26/27
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Oli McBurnie

Striker 100% of 20 recent starts Hull CityPremier League 26/27

Also in: La LigaChampionship

Next match
Hull City vs Everton›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Salisbury

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 26 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.77 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
1.63MGMEdge
Total shots1.99 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.11PPEdge
Fouls won1.99 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 102.0×
1.33PPEdge
Fouls committed1.32 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.22bet365Edge
Tackles0.99 per 90
70%
7 of 102.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 103.3×
4.50PPEdge
Goals0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
form only
Assists0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 104.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Oli McBurnie has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Oli McBurnie featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Newcastle19 Sep 90 0 3 2 2 0 0
@ Chelsea12 Sep 82 1 1 1 3 1 1
Aston Villa5 Sep 90 0 3 1 1 2 0
@ Coventry City29 Aug 90 0 0 2 3 0 1
Man Utd22 Aug 90 2 2 1 2 0 0
Burnley20 Apr 78 2 4 2 2 1 0
@ Brentford13 Apr 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
Chelsea7 Apr 90 1 3 0 3 1 0
@ Liverpool4 Apr 27 0 0 1 0 1 1
Fulham30 Mar 89 1 1 2 0 2 0
Officials on record
Andy Madley 4 games Oli McBurnie never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Samuel Barrott 3 games Oli McBurnie booked in 1 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Oli McBurnie have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Oli McBurnie has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Oli McBurnie average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Oli McBurnie is averaging 0.77 shots on target and 1.99 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Oli McBurnie get booked?

Oli McBurnie is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Oli McBurnie commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Oli McBurnie commits 1.32 fouls per 90 and wins 1.99 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Oli McBurnie?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Oli McBurnie plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.