Cole Palmer
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League attacking midfielder, 25/26, 908 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Cole Palmer has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Cole Palmer in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 31 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole PalmerChelsea | 26 | 2.93 | 0.60 |
| Eberechi EzeArsenal | 33 | 2.98 | 0.76 |
| Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.40 | 0.75 |
| Ismaïla SarrCrystal Palace | 28 | 1.99 | 0.50 |
| Bruno FernandesManchester United | 35 | 2.50 | 0.73 |
| Morgan RogersAston Villa | 37 | 2.30 | 1.26 |
| These 5, combined | 2.41 | 0.83 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Cole Palmer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brentford18 Sep | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Hull City12 Sep | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal6 Sep | 90 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brighton30 Aug | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Fulham24 Aug | 83 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland24 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Tottenham19 May | 89 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest4 May | 90 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Cole Palmer have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Cole Palmer has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Cole Palmer average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Cole Palmer is averaging 1.01 shots on target and 3.23 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Cole Palmer get booked?
Cole Palmer is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Cole Palmer commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Cole Palmer commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 1.82 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Cole Palmer?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Cole Palmer plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.