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SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
SA

Sammie Szmodics

Attacking midfielder 90% of 30 recent starts Derby CountyChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Derby County vs Wrexham›
Sat 10 OctReferee Matt Donohue

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,516 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.88 per 90
60%
6 of 101.9×
1.93MGMEdge
Total shots2.54 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
1.07bet365Edge
Fouls won0.88 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
Fouls committed0.66 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles0.55 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.22 per 90
20%
2 of 101.9×
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 102.3×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.2×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Championship games, Sammie Szmodics has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Sammie Szmodics in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 14 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Sammie SzmodicsDerby County 72.97 0.17
Finn AzazSouthampton 82.50 0.28
Scott TwineBristol City 62.12 0.58
Adrian SegečićPortsmouth 73.39 1.33
Ryoya MorishitaBlackburn Rovers 81.19 0.79
Jack MoylanCardiff City 83.98 0.80
These 5, combined 2.66 0.76

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sammie Szmodics featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Burnley19 Sep 90 1 4 0 1 0 0
Birmingham City12 Sep 90 2 6 0 0 3 0
West Brom9 Sep 90 0 3 0 1 1 0
@ West Ham5 Sep 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ Portsmouth1 Sep 86 1 1 1 1 0 0
Swansea City29 Aug 45 0 0 0 1 1 0
@ Charlton Athletic15 Aug 54 2 3 0 1 0 0
Sheffield United2 May 90 1 2 1 0 0 1
@ Queens Park Rangers25 Apr 89 0 0 1 0 0 1
@ Norwich21 Apr 90 1 3 3 2 0 0
Officials on record
Josh Smith 9 games Sammie Szmodics booked in 3 4.13cards/game 1.03×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 8 games Sammie Szmodics booked in 1 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
David Webb 7 games Sammie Szmodics never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league
Matt Donohue 7 games Sammie Szmodics never booked 4.37cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sammie Szmodics have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Sammie Szmodics has hit 1+ shot on target in 60% (6 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sammie Szmodics average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Sammie Szmodics is averaging 0.88 shots on target and 2.54 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sammie Szmodics get booked?

Sammie Szmodics is averaging 0.22 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sammie Szmodics commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Sammie Szmodics commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.88 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sammie Szmodics?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sammie Szmodics plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.