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Premier League · 25/26
MO

Moisés Caicedo

Midfielder · Chelsea · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Moisés Caicedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of his 33 Premier League appearances (5 of 33), 1+ total shot in 64%, 1+ foul committed in 85%, and 1+ foul won in 79%. He has been booked in 36% (12 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.74
80%Hot8 of 10
1.81
80%Hot8 of 10
1.60
30%3 of 10
0.32
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Chelsea at Fulham
Mon 24 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Moisés Caicedo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Sunderland24 May 85 0 1 2 2 0
Tottenham19 May 90 0 0 1 4 0
@ Liverpool9 May 90 0 0 5 3 1
Nottingham Forest4 May 90 0 0 3 1 1
@ Brighton21 Apr 90 0 1 0 3 0
Man Utd18 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 0
Man City12 Apr 82 0 1 1 1 0
@ Everton21 Mar 78 0 2 1 2 0
Newcastle14 Mar 61 0 0 1 0 1
@ Aston Villa4 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Moisés Caicedo have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Moisés Caicedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 15% of his 33 Premier League appearances (5 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Moisés Caicedo average?

Across 33 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Moisés Caicedo is averaging 0.22 shots on target and 0.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Moisés Caicedo get booked?

Moisés Caicedo is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Moisés Caicedo commit or win more fouls?

This season Moisés Caicedo commits 1.73 fouls per 90 and wins 1.77 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Moisés Caicedo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Moisés Caicedo plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.