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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
MO

Moisés Caicedo

Central midfielder 100% of 30 recent starts ChelseaPremier League 26/27

Next match
Chelsea vs Bournemouth›
Sat 10 OctReferee Samuel Barrott

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.50bet365Edge
Total shots0.82 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
1.78MGMEdge
Fouls won1.99 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls committed1.75 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.4×
1.17bet365Edge
Tackles1.87 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.35 per 90
30%
3 of 101.8×
4.00bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Moisés Caicedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 80%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Moisés Caicedo in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 86 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Moisés CaicedoChelsea 330.87 1.73
AndréWolverhampton 350.49 1.53
Mateus FernandesTottenham Hotspur 360.83 1.46
Ethan AmpaduLeeds United 350.75 1.44
Nico GonzálezNewcastle United 250.80 1.71
Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace 280.90 1.42
These 5, combined 0.74 1.50

Recent matches

The last 10 games Moisés Caicedo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Brighton30 Aug 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sunderland24 May 85 0 1 2 2 0 0
Tottenham19 May 90 0 0 1 4 0 0
@ Liverpool9 May 90 0 0 5 3 4 1
Nottingham Forest4 May 90 0 0 3 1 3 1
@ Brighton21 Apr 90 0 1 0 3 1 0
Man Utd18 Apr 90 0 2 1 1 2 0
Man City12 Apr 82 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Everton21 Mar 78 0 2 1 2 3 0
Newcastle14 Mar 61 0 0 1 0 2 1
Officials on record
Chris Kavanagh 12 games Moisés Caicedo booked in 3 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Michael Oliver 11 games Moisés Caicedo booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Robert Jones 10 games Moisés Caicedo booked in 3 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Andy Madley 9 games Moisés Caicedo booked in 3 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Moisés Caicedo have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Moisés Caicedo has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Moisés Caicedo average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Moisés Caicedo is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Moisés Caicedo get booked?

Moisés Caicedo is averaging 0.35 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Moisés Caicedo commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Moisés Caicedo commits 1.75 fouls per 90 and wins 1.99 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Moisés Caicedo?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Moisés Caicedo plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.