Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
EX

Exequiel Palacios

Central midfielder 100% of 3 recent starts IpswichPremier League 26/27

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
Ipswich at Manchester City›
Sat 17 OctReferee Farai Hallam

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,556 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
6.00bet365Edge
Total shots0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
1.91bet365Edge
Fouls won1.78 per 90
60%
3 of 51.2×
1.29bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.48 per 90
80%Hot
4 of 51.4×
1.50bet365Edge
Tackles3.55 per 90
100%Hot
5 of 51.5×
0%
0 of 5
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
3.60PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 333 selections across 80 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 5 Premier League games, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 5), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Exequiel Palacios in Premier League, 26/27 — drawn from 21 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Exequiel PalaciosIpswich Town 50.00 1.48
Youri TielemansManchester United 61.36 0.39
Lewis MileyNewcastle United 60.20 0.39
Regan SlaterHull City 60.70 1.05
Elliot AndersonManchester City 61.07 1.25
Saša LukićIpswich Town 60.18 2.56
These 5, combined 0.70 1.15

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 5 games Exequiel Palacios featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Fulham10 Oct 27 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Everton19 Sep 81 0 0 1 1 2 0
@ Crystal Palace12 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 3 0
Liverpool4 Sep 78 0 0 1 4 4 0
@ Man Utd30 Aug 28 0 0 1 1 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Exequiel Palacios have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 Premier League games, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Exequiel Palacios average?

Across the last 5 Premier League games, Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Exequiel Palacios get booked?

Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Exequiel Palacios commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Exequiel Palacios commits 1.48 fouls per 90 and wins 1.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Exequiel Palacios?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Exequiel Palacios plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.