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Bundesliga 25/26
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Exequiel Palacios

Central midfielder 93% of 30 recent starts IpswichBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Ipswich at 1. FSV Mainz 05›
Sat 10 OctReferee Max Burda

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Total shots0.74 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Fouls won1.35 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
Fouls committed0.37 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles1.48 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
10%
1 of 101.1×
Cards0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 17% (3 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Exequiel Palacios in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Exequiel PalaciosIpswich Town 180.82 0.49
Kristijan JakićFC Augsburg 260.98 0.93
Han-Noah MassengoFC Augsburg 330.74 0.92
Ellyes Skhiri1. FC Köln 250.50 0.68
Maximilian ArnoldVfL Wolfsburg 250.68 0.82
Marcel SabitzerBorussia Dortmund 260.99 0.99
These 5, combined 0.78 0.88

Recent matches

The last 10 games Exequiel Palacios featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Hamburger SV16 May 90 0 2 1 2 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart9 May 90 0 0 1 1 3 1
RB Leipzig2 May 90 0 0 0 2 2 0
@ 1. FC Köln25 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
FC Augsburg18 Apr 81 0 1 0 2 1 0
@ Borussia Dortmund11 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
VfL Wolfsburg4 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Mar 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
FC Bayern München14 Mar 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg7 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games Exequiel Palacios booked in 2 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Christian Dingert 8 games Exequiel Palacios booked in 3 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Tobias Stieler 8 games Exequiel Palacios never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 6 games Exequiel Palacios booked in 1 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Exequiel Palacios have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Exequiel Palacios average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Exequiel Palacios get booked?

Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Exequiel Palacios commit or win more fouls?

This season Exequiel Palacios commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Exequiel Palacios?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Exequiel Palacios plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.