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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Exequiel Palacios

Midfielder · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 17% (3 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.12
50%5 of 10
0.74
70%7 of 10
1.35
30%3 of 10
0.37
10%1 of 10
0.12
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Bayer 04 Leverkusen at SV 07 Elversberg
Sat 29 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Exequiel Palacios featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Hamburger SV16 May 90 0 2 1 2 0
@ VfB Stuttgart9 May 90 0 0 1 1 1
RB Leipzig2 May 90 0 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Köln25 Apr 90 0 0 1 1 0
FC Augsburg18 Apr 81 0 1 0 2 0
@ Borussia Dortmund11 Apr 90 0 0 0 1 0
VfL Wolfsburg4 Apr 90 1 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Mar 90 0 1 0 2 0
FC Bayern München14 Mar 13 0 1 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg7 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games · Exequiel Palacios booked in 2 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Christian Dingert 8 games · Exequiel Palacios booked in 3 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Tobias Stieler 8 games · Exequiel Palacios never booked 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 6 games · Exequiel Palacios booked in 1 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Exequiel Palacios have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Exequiel Palacios has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Exequiel Palacios average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.16 shots on target and 0.82 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Exequiel Palacios get booked?

Exequiel Palacios is averaging 0.25 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Exequiel Palacios commit or win more fouls?

This season Exequiel Palacios commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Exequiel Palacios?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Exequiel Palacios plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.