Jair
Centre-back 44% of 9 recent starts Nottingham ForestPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jair has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Jair in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| JairNottingham Forest | 9 | 0.51 | 0.00 |
| Nathan AkéManchester City | 18 | 0.77 | 0.38 |
| Josh AcheampongChelsea | 17 | 0.51 | 0.26 |
| Hjalmar EkdalBurnley | 19 | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Pau TorresAston Villa | 21 | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| Maxime EstèveRB Leipzig | 34 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| These 5, combined | 0.42 | 0.36 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Jair featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City19 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Tottenham5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool29 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Leeds22 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Bournemouth24 May | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd17 May | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Newcastle10 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea4 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland24 Apr | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Burnley19 Apr | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Jair have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Jair has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Jair average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Jair is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.40 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Jair get booked?
Jair is averaging 0.27 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Jair commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Jair commits 0.80 fouls per 90 and wins 1.48 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Jair?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Jair plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.