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Premier League · 25/26
IG

Igor Jesus

Forward · Nottingham Forest · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Igor Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 43% of his 37 Premier League appearances (16 of 37), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, and 1+ foul won in 62%. He has been booked in 5% (2 of 37). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 37 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
70%7 of 10
1.38
100%Hot10 of 10
2.51
60%6 of 10
1.01
70%7 of 10
1.26
20%2 of 10
0.25
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Igor Jesus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Bournemouth24 May 90 1 3 0 3 0
@ Man Utd17 May 84 0 1 1 1 0
Newcastle10 May 83 3 4 3 0 1
@ Chelsea4 May 45 2 2 1 1 0
@ Sunderland24 Apr 67 1 1 2 0 1
Burnley19 Apr 45 1 2 1 1 0
Aston Villa12 Apr 89 0 2 1 1 0
@ Tottenham22 Mar 71 2 2 1 0 0
Fulham15 Mar 63 0 1 0 1 0
@ Man City4 Mar 79 1 2 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Igor Jesus have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Igor Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 43% of his 37 Premier League appearances (16 of 37). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Igor Jesus average?

Across 37 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Igor Jesus is averaging 0.81 shots on target and 2.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Igor Jesus get booked?

Igor Jesus is averaging 0.08 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Igor Jesus commit or win more fouls?

This season Igor Jesus commits 1.63 fouls per 90 and wins 1.55 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Igor Jesus?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Igor Jesus plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.