Igor Jesus
Striker 97% of 30 recent starts Nottingham ForestPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Igor Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Igor Jesus in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Igor JesusNottingham Forest | 37 | 2.72 | 1.63 |
| Raúl JiménezWolverhampton | 36 | 3.02 | 1.88 |
| João PedroChelsea | 35 | 2.46 | 1.28 |
| Kai HavertzArsenal | 12 | 2.78 | 1.23 |
| Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United | 35 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur | 32 | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| These 5, combined | 2.66 | 1.42 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Igor Jesus featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City19 Sep | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa12 Sep | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham5 Sep | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool29 Aug | 89 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Leeds22 Aug | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Bournemouth24 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd17 May | 84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Newcastle10 May | 83 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Chelsea4 May | 45 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland24 Apr | 67 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Igor Jesus have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Igor Jesus has hit 1+ shot on target in 80% (8 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Igor Jesus average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Igor Jesus is averaging 1.58 shots on target and 2.88 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Igor Jesus get booked?
Igor Jesus is averaging 0.43 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Igor Jesus commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Igor Jesus commits 2.02 fouls per 90 and wins 1.58 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Igor Jesus?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Igor Jesus plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.