Santa Clara v CF Estrela Amadora
How the SharpXI model rated this Primeira Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Santa Clara drew with CF Estrela Amadora 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Rodrigo Silva for 1+ shots total (96%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Jovane Cabral for 1+ shots total (96%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Silva | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jovane Cabral | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vinícius Lopes | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| João Gastão | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Alan Godoy | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ianis Stoica | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Serginho | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pedro Ferreira | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Robinho | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 1 | ✓ |
| Abraham Marcus | shots total | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rodrigo Silva | shots on target | 1+ | 61% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ianis Stoica | shots on target | 1+ | 61% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jovane Cabral | shots on target | 1+ | 59% | 0 | ✗ |
| João Gastão | shots on target | 1+ | 59% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- CF Estrela Amadora 1–0 Santa Clara Feb 2026
- CF Estrela Amadora 0–0 Santa Clara Feb 2025
- Santa Clara 1–0 CF Estrela Amadora Sep 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Santa Clara v CF Estrela Amadora?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Santa Clara v CF Estrela Amadora?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jovane Cabral at 96% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Primeira Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.