Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho has officiated, the average is 3.70 cards a match — 28% below the league average of 5.17. That splits 3.5 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.9 to 1.8 a game, in line with the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 13.5% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Carvalho | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.55 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 0.88× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 15.9% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 28.6 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 12 | — |
| Matches on record | 42 (2 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica v Estoril Praia31 Aug | 2–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 |
| Santa Clara v CD Nacional10 Aug | 2–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 29 |
| Santa Clara v CD Nacional11 May | 2–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 |
| CF Estrela Amadora v FC Porto26 Apr | 1–2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 30 |
| Rio Ave v AVS - Futebol SAD17 Apr | 2–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Casa Pia v Benfica6 Apr | 1–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Vitória SC v Famalicão14 Mar | 1–2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| AVS - Futebol SAD v CF Estrela Amadora28 Feb | 0–0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 26 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho give per game?
Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho averages 4.55 cards a game across 42 Primeira Liga matches — 12% below the league average of 5.17. On a Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.88.
Is Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho runs at 15.9% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho's card rate?
It rests on 42 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.