The player report — Friday 9 to Monday 12 October
This is a snapshot of the player report as it stood on 2026-10-07 — the prices are the
ones captured then, and will have moved since.
See the current player report
Every priced selection the model rates above its edge floor, grouped by match. Prices captured 2026-10-07 20:40. These are not live prices.
Selections231
Fixtures48
Price bands7
Best of the report
The strongest evidence on the board — ranked on record and confidence, never on the biggest price gap. One selection per player.
Sven Botman , to have 2 or more shotsSame as Over 1.5
Newcastle United
Started at centre-back in 100% of recent starts.
Coventry City v Newcastle UnitedMon 12 Oct, 20:00
4/15.00
bet365
1 book
Our model says
22.4%
The price implies
20.0%
Last 10 matches
0 of 10
Last 20 matches
5 of 20
Why the model rates this
Usual rate
0.64
per 90, over 80 matches’ worth of minutes
Expected here
0.8
this match
Sven Botman reached 2 or more shots in 0 of the last 10, and 5 of the last 20 — though the earlier run was stronger.
Coventry City concede 34% more shots than the average side, which pushes the number up.
Higher lines, same market
| Line | Record | Price | Model | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+Same as Over 0.5 | 4 of 1012 of 20 | bet3654/51.83 | 58.9% | 54.5% |
| 3+Same as Over 2.5 | 0 of 100 of 20 | bet36514/115.00 | 6.9% | 6.7% |
1 of 231 shown
230 more selections are locked Each one reads exactly like the card above — the model’s number beside the price, the recent form, and the reasoning in plain English.
48 fixtures
7 price bands
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Every selection
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All 231 selections across 48 fixtures, grouped by match.
Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen
Fri 9 Oct, 19:30
6 LOCKED
RC Lens v Olympique Lyonnais
Fri 9 Oct, 19:45
1 LOCKED
West Ham United v Queens Park Rangers
Fri 9 Oct, 20:00
8 LOCKED
Arsenal v Leeds United
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30
7 LOCKED
Charlton Athletic v Bristol City
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30
3 LOCKED
West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30
10 LOCKED
Genoa v Fiorentina
Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
2 LOCKED
Inter v Parma
Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
4 LOCKED
SSC Napoli v Frosinone
Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
2 LOCKED
1. FC Union Berlin v SV 07 Elversberg
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30
5 LOCKED
1. FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30
8 LOCKED
SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30
8 LOCKED
TSG Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30
9 LOCKED
Aston Villa v Brentford
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
8 LOCKED
Blackburn Rovers v Cardiff City
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
5 LOCKED
Bolton Wanderers v Stoke City
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
2 LOCKED
Chelsea v Bournemouth
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
11 LOCKED
Derby County v Wrexham
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
1 LOCKED
Ipswich Town v Fulham
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
9 LOCKED
Preston North End v Millwall
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
1 LOCKED
Sheffield United v Lincoln City
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
1 LOCKED
Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
12 LOCKED
Watford v Burnley
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
2 LOCKED
Lille v Le Havre
Sat 10 Oct, 16:15
3 LOCKED
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30
8 LOCKED
RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30
2 LOCKED
AS Monaco v Toulouse
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45
6 LOCKED
Lorient v Paris FC
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45
5 LOCKED
Paris Saint-Germain v Le Mans
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45
13 LOCKED
Stade Brestois v Angers
Sat 10 Oct, 19:45
4 LOCKED
Como v AS Roma
Sun 11 Oct, 11:30
5 LOCKED
Southampton v Portsmouth
Sun 11 Oct, 12:00
9 LOCKED
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
4 LOCKED
Hull City v Everton
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
6 LOCKED
Lazio v Monza
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
4 LOCKED
Lecce v Bologna
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
2 LOCKED
Nice v RC Strasbourg
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00
2 LOCKED
1. FC Köln v Borussia M'gladbach
Sun 11 Oct, 14:30
2 LOCKED
Real Sociedad v Deportivo de A Coruña
Sun 11 Oct, 15:15
1 LOCKED
Stade Rennais v Auxerre
Sun 11 Oct, 16:15
4 LOCKED
SC Freiburg v FC Schalke 04
Sun 11 Oct, 16:30
5 LOCKED
Cagliari v Juventus
Sun 11 Oct, 19:45
5 LOCKED
Troyes v Olympique de Marseille
Sun 11 Oct, 19:45
1 LOCKED
Elche v Celta Vigo
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00
6 LOCKED
Real Racing Club v Valencia
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00
2 LOCKED
Torino v Udinese
Mon 12 Oct, 19:45
1 LOCKED
Coventry City v Newcastle United
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
4 LOCKED
Levante UD v Sevilla
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
2 LOCKED
EARLIER BOARDS
Snapshots, kept so older links still work. The prices in them have moved.