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Serie A · 25/26

AS Roma v Pisa

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

AS Roma3 – 0 Pisa 10 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Donyell Malen shots total 1+ 100% 3
Matías Soulé shots total 1+ 94% 0
Stephan El Shaarawy shots total 1+ 94% 0
Lorenzo Pellegrini shots total 1+ 86% 1
Bryan Cristante fouls committed 1+ 82% 2
Stefano Moreo shots total 1+ 81% 1
Bryan Cristante shots total 1+ 81% 1
Matteo Tramoni shots total 1+ 81% 1
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro fouls committed 1+ 78% 0
Lorenzo Pellegrini fouls drawn 1+ 78% 4
Daniele Ghilardi fouls committed 1+ 76% 1
Mehdi Léris fouls committed 1+ 76% 1
Mario Hermoso fouls committed 1+ 74% 1
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro fouls drawn 1+ 74% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 49% 3 goals
Btts Yes 47% No
Match cards O4.5 19% 2 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.