Serie A · 22/23

AS Roma v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

AS Roma2 – 1 Spezia 4 Jun 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Paulo Dybala	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Lorenzo Pellegrini	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Stephan El Shaarawy	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Andrea Belotti	shots total	1+	89%	1	✓
Szymon Żurkowski	fouls committed	1+	84%	2	✓
Paulo Dybala	fouls drawn	1+	84%	6	✓
Andrea Belotti	fouls drawn	1+	83%	1	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	81%	1	✓
Nicola Zalewski	shots total	1+	81%	1	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Emmanuel Gyasi	fouls committed	1+	79%	0	✗
Nicola Zalewski	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Lorenzo Pellegrini	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Ethan Ampadu	fouls committed	1+	75%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	10 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	48%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	45%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

AS Roma & Spezia player stats→ AS Roma players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 0–2 AS Roma Jan 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works