Cremonese v AC Milan
How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pulišić | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Niclas Füllkrug | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rafael Leão | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 6 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Milan Đurić | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Adrien Rabiot | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Youssouf Fofana | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Federico Bonazzoli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 5 | ✓ |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tommaso Barbieri | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Youssef Maleh | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Samuele Ricci | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Leão | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 55% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 54% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese Aug 2025
- AC Milan 1–1 Cremonese May 2023
- Cremonese 0–0 AC Milan Nov 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.